CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association

Platform comparison

Market context

CD Los Chankas defeated Sport Boys Association 1–0 in the Clausura round of Peru’s Liga 1 on Sunday, 19 July 2026, at Estadio Los Chankas. The match, scheduled for 11:00 a.m. Lima time, concluded with a narrow home win, confirming the outcome that the prediction market now prices at 100% YES.

Historical precedents in Liga 1 show that 100% crowd-implied probabilities on settled matches are rare but consistent when the result is already confirmed by official scores. In comparable cases, such as earlier Clausura fixtures where home teams secured decisive wins, sportsbooks like ESPN initially offered Los Chankas at -155 moneyline odds, while the draw and Sport Boys carried +260 and +225 respectively [1]. The divergence between those pre-match odds and the current certainty highlights how prediction markets rapidly converge to 100% once a result is verified, whereas traditional sportsbooks may still reflect residual uncertainty until final settlement.

Traders should monitor official league confirmations and broadcast archives from L1 Max and L1 Play, the designated channels for the match, to ensure no post-game disputes alter the settlement [3]. With the settlement window closing on 2026-07-19T16:00:00Z and the game already completed, the primary catalyst is the formal publication of the final score by the Peruvian Football Association, which aligns with the 1–0 result reported by 365scores [2]. No further announcements or schedule dependencies remain relevant, as the event has concluded.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.