Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Steelers O/U 11.5 | 99% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 99% |
| Bills 1H O/U 8.5 | 99% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 6.5 | 99% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 10.5 | 99% |
| O/U 29.5 | 93% |
| O/U 25.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 80% |
| O/U 27.5 | 77% |
| O/U 31.5 | 76% |
| O/U 33.5 | 76% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 75% |
| O/U 34.5 | 72% |
| Steelers vs. Bills | 66% |
| O/U 36.5 | 66% |
| O/U 35.5 | 64% |
| O/U 37.5 | 58% |
| O/U 39.5 | 53% |
| O/U 45.5 | 52% |
| Bills O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Bills O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Steelers O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Bills O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Steelers O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Bills O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Bills O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Bills O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Steelers O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Steelers O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Steelers O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bills by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bills by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bills by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bills by 21+ | 50% |
| Steelers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bills Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Steelers vs. Bills: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Steelers vs. Bills: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Bills 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Bills 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 49% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| O/U 41.5 | 39% |
| Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| Spread -0.5 | 32% |
| Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 23% |
| O/U 47.5 | 22% |
| Spread -4.5 | 19% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 17% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| O/U 53.5 | 8% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to steelers vs. bills. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 27 at 7:00PM ET: If Steelers wins, the market will resolve to "Steelers". If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills". If the game is postponed, th…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $282K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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