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Philadelphia Union vs. FC Cincinnati - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Philadelphia Union vs. FC Cincinnati - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 96% Philadelphia Union O/U 0.5 93% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 91% O/U 1.5 83% Volume: $167K Liquidity: $141K Closes: 9 Sept 2026
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Philadelphia Union vs. FC Cincinnati - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.596%
Philadelphia Union O/U 0.593%
2nd Half O/U 0.591%
O/U 1.583%
Philadelphia Union 2nd Half O/U 0.583%
Philadelphia Union O/U 1.570%
2nd Half O/U 1.569%
O/U 2.561%
1st Half O/U 0.560%
Philadelphia Union 1st Half O/U 0.554%
Philadelphia Union (-1.5)53%
Philadelphia Union 2nd Half O/U 1.552%
Philadelphia Union 1st Half (-2.5)50%
FC Cincinnati 1st Half (-2.5)50%
FC Cincinnati 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
FC Cincinnati 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
FC Cincinnati O/U 0.548%
Both Teams to Score44%
Philadelphia Union O/U 2.543%
Philadelphia Union 2nd Half (-1.5)41%
2nd Half O/U 2.539%
FC Cincinnati 2nd Half O/U 0.539%
O/U 3.538%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half34%
Philadelphia Union (-2.5)31%
FC Cincinnati 1st Half O/U 1.526%
1st Half O/U 1.521%
O/U 4.520%
Philadelphia Union 2nd Half (-2.5)19%
FC Cincinnati 1st Half (-1.5)18%
FC Cincinnati 1st Half O/U 0.517%
FC Cincinnati O/U 1.514%
Philadelphia Union 1st Half O/U 1.514%
Philadelphia Union 1st Half (-1.5)14%
O/U 5.510%
FC Cincinnati 2nd Half O/U 1.59%
Both Teams to Score in First Half8%
1st Half O/U 2.55%
FC Cincinnati O/U 2.53%
FC Cincinnati (-1.5)2%
FC Cincinnati (-2.5)1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 96% probability to philadelphia union vs. fc cincinnati - more markets. More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for September 9 at 7:30 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Philadelphia Union vs. FC Cincinnati - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports