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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Live odds for "Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 73% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 60% O/U 7.5 52% Spread -1.5 50% Volume: $120K Liquidity: $773K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.573%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.560%
O/U 7.552%
Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.546%
NRFI45%
O/U 8.544%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.543%
Spread -2.537%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies34%
O/U 9.534%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.533%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.525%
Spread -1.523%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.519%
Spread -2.515%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

The Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction market currently prices this outcome at 73% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for August 7 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 73% for "Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 73% Other 27%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $120K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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