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Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians

Five-platform snapshot of "Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 69% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 55% Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians 54% O/U 7.5 52% Volume: $202K Liquidity: $786K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.569%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.555%
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians54%
O/U 7.552%
NRFI45%
O/U 8.544%
Spread -1.541%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.541%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.532%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.528%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.524%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.523%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.519%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.513%
Extra Innings6%

Market context

Market consensus: 69% chance of texas rangers vs. cleveland guardians. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 30 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers wi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 69% for "Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 69% Other 31%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $202K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports