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MLB: Team to win 100+ games

How the prediction-market book is pricing "MLB: Team to win 100+ games" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Los Angeles Dodgers 57% Milwaukee Brewers 38% New York Yankees 24% Atlanta Braves 20% Volume: $274K Liquidity: $25K Closes: 28 Sept 2026
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MLB: Team to win 100+ games

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
57% 43% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
57% 43% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Los Angeles Dodgers57%
Milwaukee Brewers38%
New York Yankees24%
Atlanta Braves20%
Tampa Bay Rays17%
San Diego Padres16%
St. Louis Cardinals11%
Philadelphia Phillies8%
Chicago Cubs6%
Baltimore Orioles5%
Texas Rangers5%
Chicago White Sox4%
Miami Marlins4%
Seattle Mariners4%
Toronto Blue Jays4%
Arizona Diamondbacks3%
Houston Astros3%
Minnesota Twins3%
San Francisco Giants3%
Washington Nationals3%
Boston Red Sox2%
Cleveland Guardians1%
Detroit Tigers1%
Kansas City Royals1%
Los Angeles Angels1%
New York Mets1%
Cincinnati Reds0%
Colorado Rockies0%
Athletics0%
Pittsburgh Pirates0%

Market context

Market consensus: 57% chance of mlb: team to win 100+ games. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any po…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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