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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

O/U 8.5 66% Spread -1.5 61% NRFI 54% O/U 7.5 52% Volume: $1.3M Liquidity: $76K Closes: 16 May 2026
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
66% 34% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
66% 34% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 8.566%
Spread -1.561%
NRFI54%
O/U 7.552%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox39%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 66% probability to tampa bay rays vs. boston red sox. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for May 9 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 8.5 at 66% for "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox".

O/U 8.5 66% Other 34%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.3M.

Methodology

This page reviews Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports