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San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Five-platform snapshot of "San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 6.5 60% O/U 13.5 58% O/U 14.5 54% O/U 7.5 50% Volume: $128K Liquidity: $195K Closes: 8 Sept 2026
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San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 60% 40% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 60% 40% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 6.560%
O/U 13.558%
O/U 14.554%
O/U 7.550%
Spread -3.550%
O/U 9.550%
O/U 10.550%
O/U 11.550%
O/U 12.550%
Spread -1.542%
O/U 8.541%
San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates39%
NRFI33%
Spread -2.530%
Spread -1.528%
Spread -2.521%
O/U 15.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, san francisco giants vs. pittsburgh pirates stands at 60% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for September 1 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 6.5 at 60% for "San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates".

O/U 6.5 60% Other 40%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $128K.

Methodology

This page reviews San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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