Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres | Polymarket Vs Kalshi 2026

Name: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres
Start: 2026-08-20T13:00:38.000Z
End: 2026-09-02T20:10:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	65%	35%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	65%	35%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	View on Polymarket →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
O/U 5.5	65%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5	63%
Spread -1.5	62%
O/U 6.5	59%
Extra Innings	50%
Spread -2.5	38%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5	38%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5	28%
O/U 7.5	22%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5	21%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres	17%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5	16%
O/U 8.5	15%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5	15%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5	12%
Spread -1.5	10%
O/U 9.5	9%
Spread -2.5	5%
NRFI	0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 65% probability to pittsburgh pirates vs. san diego padres. In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and San Diego Padres, scheduled for August 26 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 5.5 at 65% for "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres".

O/U 5.5 65% Other 35%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $413K.

Methodology

We track Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?: Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Maya TorresFinancial Markets Writerand

Priya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

Trade Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres on PolyGram

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres on PolyGram

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