🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogView on Polymarket →

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 68% O/U 6.5 61% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 53% O/U 7.5 48% Volume: $450K Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 11 Aug 2026
Open live market →
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.568%
O/U 6.561%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.553%
O/U 7.548%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers44%
NRFI42%
O/U 8.540%
Spread -1.539%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.538%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.532%
Spread -1.531%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.528%
Spread -2.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.522%
Spread -2.521%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.520%
Extra Innings7%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 68% YES probability for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers. In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for August 4 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 68% for "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 68% Other 32%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $450K.

Methodology

This page reviews Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Sports