Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

76% odds: Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals | Polymarket Vs Kalshi 2026

Name: Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals
Start: 2026-08-13T13:00:39.000Z
End: 2026-08-26T23:40:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	76%	24%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	76%	24%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	View on Polymarket →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5	76%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5	64%
O/U 7.5	59%
O/U 8.5	52%
NRFI	51%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5	50%
Spread -1.5	47%
O/U 9.5	42%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5	41%
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals	38%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5	36%
Spread -2.5	35%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5	29%
Spread -1.5	27%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5	24%
Spread -2.5	21%
Extra Innings	8%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 76% probability to athletics vs. kansas city royals. In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for August 19 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will r…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 76% for "Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 76% Other 24%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $373K.

Methodology

This page reviews Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?: Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Maya TorresFinancial Markets Writerand

Priya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

Trade Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals on PolyGram

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Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals on PolyGram

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