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Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 80% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 65% O/U 7.5 57% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 53% Volume: $294K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.580%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.565%
O/U 7.557%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.553%
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants52%
O/U 8.551%
NRFI49%
Spread -1.539%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.539%
O/U 9.538%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.533%
Spread -1.533%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.530%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.529%
Spread -2.528%
Spread -2.524%
Extra Innings10%

Market context

The Los Angeles Angels face the San Francisco Giants in a three-game series shaped by recent form rather than season-long reputation. San Francisco has already taken the first two meetings in the set, edging Los Angeles 7-6 on Friday and then winning 9-2 on Saturday, which makes the current 52% crowd-implied price on the Angels look only slightly against the immediate run of play.[2][3]

That modest Angels lean is also consistent with a live market that is not treating either side as dominant. The latest comparable result available before this game shows the Giants opening the series with a narrow win and then extending the gap decisively the next day, so traders are effectively weighing home-field edge and regression against a short-term Giants advantage.[2][3] ESPN’s game listing also shows the teams split recent games tightly enough that pre-game pricing has not moved into a heavy favourite range for either club.[1]

For traders, the main catalysts are starting pitcher confirmation, late lineup changes and whether either club rests regulars after the back-to-back games in San Francisco. Because the market settles on the official final result and stays open if the game is postponed, any schedule change or make-up announcement matters more than usual for position timing.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 80% for "Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 80% Other 20%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $294K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports