Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
80% | 20% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
80% | 20% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 80% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 65% |
| O/U 7.5 | 57% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 53% |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants | 52% |
| O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| NRFI | 49% |
| Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 33% |
| Spread -1.5 | 33% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 30% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 29% |
| Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| Extra Innings | 10% |
Market context
The Los Angeles Angels face the San Francisco Giants in a three-game series shaped by recent form rather than season-long reputation. San Francisco has already taken the first two meetings in the set, edging Los Angeles 7-6 on Friday and then winning 9-2 on Saturday, which makes the current 52% crowd-implied price on the Angels look only slightly against the immediate run of play.[2][3]
That modest Angels lean is also consistent with a live market that is not treating either side as dominant. The latest comparable result available before this game shows the Giants opening the series with a narrow win and then extending the gap decisively the next day, so traders are effectively weighing home-field edge and regression against a short-term Giants advantage.[2][3] ESPN’s game listing also shows the teams split recent games tightly enough that pre-game pricing has not moved into a heavy favourite range for either club.[1]
For traders, the main catalysts are starting pitcher confirmation, late lineup changes and whether either club rests regulars after the back-to-back games in San Francisco. Because the market settles on the official final result and stays open if the game is postponed, any schedule change or make-up announcement matters more than usual for position timing.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $294K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants on PolyGram
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