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Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Five-platform snapshot of "Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 5.5 59% O/U 6.5 56% O/U 3.5 50% Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 43% Volume: $290K Liquidity: $74K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
59% 41% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
59% 41% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 5.559%
O/U 6.556%
O/U 3.550%
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates43%
O/U 4.539%
Spread -1.528%
Spread -1.526%
Extra Innings20%
O/U 8.59%
O/U 7.58%
O/U 9.55%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.51%
NRFI0%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 59% probability to atlanta braves vs. pittsburgh pirates. In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for July 8 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This m…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 5.5 at 59% for "Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates".

O/U 5.5 59% Other 41%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $290K.

Methodology

This page reviews Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports