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LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 70% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 70% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 66% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 64% Volume: $104K Liquidity: $504K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon70%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?66%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?64%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors53%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
Game 1 Winner44%
Game 2 Winner44%
Match Winner42%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?37%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)34%
Any Player Penta Kill29%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor23%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor23%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Gen.G (+1.5)21%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors19%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors19%

Market context

The LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group prediction market currently prices this outcome at 70% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and Gen.G in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 16 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match agains…

Methodology

We track LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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