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LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 81% Game 3 Winner 75% Game 2 Winner 72% Game 4 Winner 71% Volume: $68K Liquidity: $6K Closes: 1 Sept 2026
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LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner81%
Game 3 Winner75%
Game 2 Winner72%
Game 4 Winner71%
O/U 3.5 Games70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon60%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon60%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon60%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon58%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon58%
Game Handicap: PCIFIC (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5)53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills49%
Game 1 Winner45%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor40%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors40%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor40%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor40%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors39%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors39%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
Any Player Penta Kill37%
Any Player Penta Kill37%
Any Player Penta Kill37%
Game Handicap: PCIFIC (-2.5) vs Dark Passage (+2.5)28%
O/U 4.5 Games24%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 81% YES probability for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between PCIFIC and Dark Passage in the TCL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

We track LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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