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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 77% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? 77% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 77% O/U 3.5 Games 71% Volume: $120K Liquidity: $334K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?77%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?77%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?77%
O/U 3.5 Games71%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon62%
Match Winner60%
Game 1 Winner56%
Game 2 Winner56%
Game 3 Winner56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?56%
Game 4 Winner54%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?54%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
First Blood in Game 3?51%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 4?49%
First Blood in Game 5?49%
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)42%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor42%
O/U 4.5 Games33%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor30%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor30%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors30%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors29%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)19%

Market context

The LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 77% YES. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Invictus Gaming and Team WE in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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