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LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 83% Game 1 Winner 73% First Blood in Game 1? 72% First Blood in Game 3? 72% Volume: $230K Liquidity: $440K Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
83% 17% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
83% 17% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner83%
Game 1 Winner73%
First Blood in Game 1?72%
First Blood in Game 3?72%
Game 2 Winner71%
Game 3 Winner71%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?70%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)68%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Game 4 Winner63%
O/U 3.5 Games61%
Odd/Even Total Kills55%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?51%
First Blood in Game 4?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 5?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon47%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon43%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors39%
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)38%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors38%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor29%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors29%
O/U 4.5 Games28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill27%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 83% YES probability for LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Hanwha Life Esports and G2 Esports in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 5 at 4:00AM ET. This mar…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-S… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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