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LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 82% Game 2 Winner 69% Game 3 Winner 69% Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) 69% Volume: $86K Liquidity: $408K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner82%
Game 2 Winner69%
Game 3 Winner69%
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)69%
Game 1 Winner68%
Game 4 Winner62%
O/U 3.5 Games61%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?54%
Odd/Even Total Kills53%
Odd/Even Total Kills52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
First Blood in Game 3?52%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?48%
Odd/Even Total Kills47%
Odd/Even Total Kills46%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?44%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?41%
Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs RED Canids (+2.5)36%
O/U 4.5 Games27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: furia esports vs red canids (bo5) - cblol playoffs stands at 82% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Semifinal match between FURIA Esports and RED Canids in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. …

Methodology

We track LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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