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LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) 100% Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1? 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 90% Volume: $548K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 24 Aug 2026
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LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)100%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Any Player Quadra Kill90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%
First Blood in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: disguised vs sentinels (bo3) - lcs regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Disguised and Sentinels in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "…

Methodology

We track LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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