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LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 72% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 71% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 56% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 56% Volume: $109K Liquidity: $508K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon72%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon71%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?56%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon43%
Game 1 Winner42%
Game 2 Winner42%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?40%
Match Winner39%
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)34%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor20%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor20%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors17%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors12%

Market context

The LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group prediction market currently prices this outcome at 72% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 12 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers"…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Ro… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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