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LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 91% Volume: $171K Liquidity: $395K Closes: 29 Aug 2026
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LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon91%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: CPD (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: cupid esports vs maryville university (bo3) - north american challengers league playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Cupid Esports and Maryville University in the North American Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled …

Methodology

We track LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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