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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Match Winner 84% Game 1 Winner 71% Game 2 Winner 71% Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) 71% Volume: $81K Liquidity: $615K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
84% 16% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
84% 16% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner84%
Game 1 Winner71%
Game 2 Winner71%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)71%
Game 3 Winner70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon70%
Game 4 Winner62%
O/U 3.5 Games62%
First Blood in Game 1?55%
First Blood in Game 3?55%
First Blood in Game 2?54%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 5?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 5?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?38%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5)37%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?37%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
O/U 4.5 Games27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor15%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor14%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor12%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors9%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors9%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors8%

Market context

Market consensus: 84% chance of lol: bilibili gaming vs anyone's legend (bo5) - lpl playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Bilibili Gaming and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This mar…

Methodology

We track LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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