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Real Salt Lake vs. FC Juárez - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Real Salt Lake vs. FC Juárez - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Real Salt Lake (-1.5) 100% Real Salt Lake (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $171K Liquidity: $969K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Real Salt Lake vs. FC Juárez - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Real Salt Lake (-1.5)100%
Real Salt Lake (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Real Salt Lake O/U 0.5100%
Real Salt Lake O/U 1.5100%
Real Salt Lake O/U 2.5100%
Real Salt Lake 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Real Salt Lake 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Real Salt Lake 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half1%
FC Juárez (-1.5)0%
FC Juárez (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
FC Juárez O/U 0.50%
FC Juárez O/U 1.50%
FC Juárez O/U 2.50%
Real Salt Lake 1st Half O/U 1.50%
FC Juárez 1st Half O/U 0.50%
FC Juárez 1st Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
FC Juárez 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
FC Juárez 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Real Salt Lake will face FC Juárez in a Leagues Cup fixture on 11 August at 21:30 ET, with settlement contingent on additional markets becoming available for the match by 01:30 UTC on 12 August. The 100% implied probability reflects near-certainty that supplementary betting options—such as player props, half-time/full-time combinations, or corner totals—will materialise before the deadline, rather than confidence in any specific match outcome.

Leagues Cup markets have historically generated robust secondary-market depth within 48 hours of fixture announcement, particularly for matches involving MLS franchises with established sportsbook relationships. RSL's participation in prior Leagues Cup editions saw consistent availability of extended markets across major platforms; however, late-season or lower-profile matchups have occasionally experienced delays or limited offerings. The current 100% settlement probability suggests traders are pricing in the structural likelihood that at least one additional market type will be listed, not that the event itself faces cancellation or postponement.

Traders should monitor official Leagues Cup communications and sportsbook announcements for confirmation of market expansion. Weather conditions in the southwestern United States during early August rarely disrupt fixtures, though fixture rescheduling due to broadcast conflicts or venue constraints remains a minor tail risk. The settlement window's tight 16-hour margin after kick-off means any delays in market publication post-match could trigger technical disputes; tracking real-time sportsbook activity on 11–12 August will be essential for positioning ahead of the deadline.

Methodology

This page reviews Real Salt Lake vs. FC Juárez - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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