FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

FC Anyang and Daejeon Hana Citizen meet in a K League 1 fixture with the related “More Markets” contract set to settle on the game’s ancillary outcomes rather than the match result itself. The current crowd-implied probability of **0% YES** is materially below what historical comparison data would suggest for most live football side markets, because these teams have repeatedly produced close games: one head-to-head source shows 33 meetings since 2014, with Daejeon leading 13-8 and 12 draws, while another records 36 meetings at 13-9 with 14 draws[2][12].

For context, the prior meeting in this fixture finished 2-1 to Daejeon, and a later head-to-head record also shows a 1-1 draw earlier in 2026, reinforcing that the matchup has often sat in the narrow-margin zone rather than a one-sided profile[10][8]. On league form, Anyang have been the stronger side in the table, sitting above Daejeon on recent snapshots, while Daejeon’s numbers remain competitive enough to keep many derivative markets live[3][15]. That means a 0% crowd price is only sensible if the contract is tied to a very specific market condition that the crowd believes is already impossible or effectively dead, rather than a straightforward game-related angle.

The main catalysts to watch are the confirmed line-ups, any late injury or rotation news, and whether the market’s settlement definition depends on a precise sportsbook-grade stat such as cards, corners, or first-half scoring. In practical terms, Anyang’s recent home scoring and Daejeon’s away results suggest that pre-match consensus would usually leave room for volatility in totals and goal-related props, but not necessarily for a binary zero unless the contract wording is unusually restrictive[15][14]. Because the fixture is already scheduled for the morning ET window and live football books typically move on team news, any late change in availability or official stat rules is the most likely trigger for a repricing rather than the historical head-to-head itself[11][6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.