Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC | 100% |
| FC Anyang | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
FC Anyang meet Daejeon Hana Citizen in the K League 1, with the contract currently pricing a **0% YES** outcome despite a live fixture on the schedule. The market is therefore implying that the event will not settle as a win for the YES side, even though football pricing on similar domestic league matches normally leaves room for volatility until team news and line-ups are confirmed.
Historically, this is not a fixture that has been one-sided enough to justify certainty. Across head-to-head databases, Daejeon hold a modest edge over the long run, but the series is tight: FotMob lists Daejeon with 13 wins, Anyang with 9, and 13 draws, while AiScore shows 13 Daejeon wins, 8 Anyang wins, and 12 draws.[1][2] Recent meetings have also been competitive, including a 1-1 draw in March 2026 and Anyang’s 3-2 win at home in August 2025, which is the kind of split result profile that usually pushes analyst consensus towards caution rather than a strong directional call.[4][13]
For traders, the main catalysts are the official team sheets, any late injury or suspension updates, and whether either side rotates on short rest, since those are the inputs most likely to move sportsbook lines before kick-off. Cross-platform comparison matters here because prediction-market probabilities can lag or overshoot when liquidity is thin, whereas bookmakers tend to reprice more quickly once line-ups land; that means a 0% market quote should be checked against pre-match odds rather than read as a clean consensus signal. No relevant breaking team news was present in the supplied sources, so the most useful watchpoint remains the confirmed XI and any last-minute schedule or selection adjustment before the settlement window closes.[11]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $79K.
Methodology
We track FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC on PolyGram
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