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ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge

Five-platform snapshot of "ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge Set 1 Winner 100% ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge Set 2 Winner 50% ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge Set Handicap +/-1.5 50% Volume: $258K Liquidity: $177K Closes: 18 Aug 2026
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ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge Set 1 Winner100%
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge Set 2 O/U 8.550%
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge Set 2 Winner50%
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge Set Handicap +/-1.550%
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge Match O/U 21.550%
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge Set 2 O/U 9.550%
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge Set Handicap +/-1.550%
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge Match O/U 22.550%
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge Set 2 O/U 10.550%
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge Match O/U 23.550%
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge0%
Completed Match0%
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge Set 1 O/U 8.50%
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge Set 1 O/U 9.50%
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, itf w35 vigo women: celia cervino ruiz vs francisca jorge stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Celia Cervino Ruiz and Francisca Jorge in the ITF W35 Vigo Women, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market…

Methodology

This page reviews ITF W35 Vigo Women: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Francisca Jorge across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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