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ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu

Five-platform snapshot of "ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu 100% Completed Match 100% ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu Set 1 Winner 100% ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $137K Liquidity: $129K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu100%
Completed Match100%
ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu Set 1 Winner100%
ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu Set 2 Winner100%
ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu Match O/U 21.5100%
ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu Match O/U 22.5100%
ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu Set 2 O/U 10.50%
ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, itf bacau: radu mihai papoe vs stefan adrian andreescu stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Radu Mihai Papoe and Stefan Adrian Andreescu in the ITF Men Bacau, originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market …

Methodology

We track ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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