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ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace

Five-platform snapshot of "ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace Set Handicap +/-1.5 52% ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace Match O/U 21.5 51% ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace Match O/U 22.5 51% ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace Set 2 O/U 10.5 51% Volume: $141K Liquidity: $69K Closes: 21 Jul 2026
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ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
52% 48% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
52% 48% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace Set Handicap +/-1.552%
ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace Match O/U 21.551%
ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace Match O/U 22.551%
ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace Set 2 O/U 10.551%
ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace Set 2 O/U 8.550%
ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace Set 1 O/U 8.550%
ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace Set Handicap +/-1.550%
ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace Set 2 O/U 9.550%
ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace Set 1 O/U 9.550%
ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace Set 1 O/U 10.550%
ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace Total Sets: O/U 2.549%
ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace Match O/U 23.549%
ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace48%
ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace Set 2 Winner48%
ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace Set 1 Winner40%
Completed Match20%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 52% probability to itf granby: mao mushika vs cadence brace. This market refers to the tennis match between Mao Mushika and Cadence Brace in the ITF Women Granby, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mao Mushika' if…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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