Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Draw | 100% |
| CS Herediano | 0% |
| Puntarenas FC | 0% |
Market context
CS Herediano’s meeting with Puntarenas FC in Liga Promerica was priced by the crowd at **0% YES**, which is far below what a normal football market would imply for a top-side home fixture. Recent head-to-head data point the other way from that extreme: across 24 previous meetings, Herediano have won 14 and Puntarenas four, a record that supports Herediano as the historical favourite rather than a near-certain no-hoper.[1]
For cross-platform reading, that gap matters. A 0% crowd price can reflect a stale contract, thin liquidity, or uncertainty around whether the event still has time to resolve, but it is not consistent with the underlying team matchup on its own. The most useful comparison is against sportsbook pricing and any analyst preview that has Herediano as a clear favourite; if those sources are materially firmer on Herediano than the market, the contract is likely underreacting to basics rather than signalling a genuine upset probability.[1]
For traders, the key catalysts are team-news items that can move football prices late: confirmed line-ups, rest or rotation from scheduling congestion, and any injury or suspension updates released on match day. Because the settlement window ends at 2026-07-24T02:00:00Z, the decisive information is whatever was available before kick-off and whether the listed fixture actually proceeded as scheduled; any postponement or timing change would be the main contract risk to watch.
Sources: 1
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $61K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade CS Herediano vs. Puntarenas FC on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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