Croatia vs. Ghana - Total Corners

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The FIFA World Cup match between Croatia and Ghana kicks off at 5:00 PM ET in Philadelphia, with both sides entering a contest where defensive resilience is expected to dominate. Ghana has yet to concede a goal in this tournament, while Croatia is showing marked improvement in their own defensive end, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair where corner opportunities may remain scarce.

Historical data frames the current 23% YES probability for a high corner total as an outlier; Croatia has trended under 10.5 corners in six of their last seven matches, and both nations have shown modest corner generation in recent World Cup encounters. Comparable cases from previous tournaments involving defensively organised teams like Ghana in 2006 and 2010, where quarter-final runs were built on tight defending, support the view that corner counts will likely stay low rather than surge.

Traders should monitor live lineups and in-game tactical shifts, particularly if either side abandons a conservative approach for aggressive wing play. Recent pre-match analysis from Sofascore notes that corners may be modest, with Croatia’s recent under-10.5 trend being a key dependency [2]. Any late announcement regarding a change in formation or a shift to high pressing could act as a catalyst, diverging from the current sportsbook consensus which leans heavily on defensive stability.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.