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Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 94% Arsenal FC O/U 0.5 86% O/U 1.5 77% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 77% Volume: $341K Liquidity: $2.0M Closes: 18 Oct 2026
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Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.594%
Arsenal FC O/U 0.586%
O/U 1.577%
2nd Half O/U 0.577%
1st Half O/U 0.571%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half O/U 0.567%
Nottingham Forest FC O/U 0.558%
Arsenal FC O/U 1.558%
Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 0.558%
O/U 2.553%
Both Teams to Score50%
Nottingham Forest FC 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Nottingham Forest FC 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Arsenal FC 1st Half (-2.5)50%
Nottingham Forest FC 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Nottingham Forest FC 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Nottingham Forest FC O/U 4.549%
Nottingham Forest FC O/U 5.549%
Nottingham Forest FC 1st Half O/U 3.548%
Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 3.548%
Nottingham Forest FC 1st Half (-2.5)48%
Nottingham Forest FC 1st Half O/U 2.547%
2nd Half O/U 1.546%
Nottingham Forest FC 2nd Half O/U 0.539%
2nd Half O/U 3.538%
Arsenal FC (-1.5)37%
1st Half O/U 1.535%
2nd Half O/U 4.534%
O/U 3.530%
Arsenal FC O/U 2.530%
Nottingham Forest FC 1st Half O/U 0.530%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half O/U 1.530%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half (-1.5)28%
1st Half O/U 4.526%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half25%
Nottingham Forest FC O/U 1.521%
Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 1.521%
2nd Half O/U 2.520%
Arsenal FC (-2.5)18%
Both Teams to Score in First Half17%
Arsenal FC 1st Half (-1.5)16%
O/U 4.514%
Arsenal FC O/U 3.514%
1st Half O/U 2.513%
Nottingham Forest FC (-4.5)12%
Nottingham Forest FC (-5.5)12%
Arsenal FC (-5.5)12%
Nottingham Forest FC 1st Half O/U 1.59%
Nottingham Forest FC 2nd Half O/U 1.58%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half O/U 2.58%
Arsenal FC (-3.5)7%
Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 2.57%
O/U 5.56%
Nottingham Forest FC O/U 2.55%
Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)4%
Arsenal FC O/U 4.54%
1st Half O/U 3.53%
Nottingham Forest FC 1st Half (-1.5)3%
Arsenal FC (-4.5)2%
O/U 6.52%
Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)1%
O/U 7.51%
Nottingham Forest FC O/U 3.51%
Arsenal FC O/U 5.51%
Nottingham Forest FC (-3.5)0%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 4% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-18T15:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

This page reviews Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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