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Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

Live odds for "Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Any Player Ultra Kill 61% Any Player Rampage 56% Any Player Ultra Kill 55% Any Player Rampage 54% Volume: $77K Liquidity: $15K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
61% 39% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
61% 39% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Player Ultra Kill61%
Any Player Rampage56%
Any Player Ultra Kill55%
Any Player Rampage54%
Game 2 Winner52%
O/U 2.5 Games51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Any Player Rampage51%
Game 1 Winner50%
Match Winner50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan49%
Both Teams Beat Roshan49%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks49%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks48%
Any Player Ultra Kill48%
Ends in Daytime48%
Both Teams Beat Roshan47%
Game Handicap: ICxI (-1.5) vs Team Jenz (+1.5)45%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 61% YES probability for Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Jenz and Inner Circle in the EPL Masters Play-In Group A, initially scheduled for July 23 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Jenz" if …

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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