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Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Game 1 Winner 100% First Blood in Game 1? 91% O/U 2.5 Games 68% First Blood in Game 2? 51% Volume: $572K Liquidity: $475K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
First Blood in Game 1?91%
O/U 2.5 Games68%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2?50%
Match Winner48%
Game Handicap: HULIGANI (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)41%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?34%
Game 2 Winner32%
Ends in Daytime10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?2%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?2%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?2%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?2%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?2%
Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of dota 2: huligani vs vici gaming (bo3) - the international group stage. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between HULIGANI and Vici Gaming in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This …

Methodology

We track Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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