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Counter-Strike: NRG vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: NRG vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 91% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 91% O/U 2.5 Games 66% Volume: $240K Liquidity: $119K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: NRG vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.591%
O/U 2.5 Games66%
Match Winner57%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)35%
Map 2 Winner34%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Liquid (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-9.5) vs Liquid (+9.5)10%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Counter-Strike: NRG vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Final match between NRG and Liquid in the PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 11, 2026 at…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: NRG vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: NRG vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bu… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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