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Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs Luminosity (+6.5) 50% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 50% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) 50% Volume: $560K Liquidity: $58K Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs Luminosity (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-9.5) vs Luminosity (+9.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-6.5) vs Team Nemesis (+6.5)50%
Match Winner27%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)9%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 50% YES probability for Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Monte and Team Nemesis in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Mont…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pr… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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