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Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group D

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group D" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs OlyBet SB (+1.5) 100% Volume: $169K Liquidity: $428K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs OlyBet SB (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-3.5) vs OlyBet SB (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-3.5) vs OlyBet SB (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-6.5) vs OlyBet SB (+6.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-9.5) vs OlyBet SB (+9.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-12.5) vs OlyBet SB (+12.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-6.5) vs OlyBet SB (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-9.5) vs OlyBet SB (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
O/U 2.5 Games0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: misa esports vs olybet sb (bo3) - cct europe closed qualifier: series #5 group d stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Misa Esports and OlyBet SB in the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group D, initially scheduled for July 17 at 1:00PM E…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group D across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CC… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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