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Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 2 Winner 100% Map 3 Winner 100% Map 4 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Volume: $95K Liquidity: $430 Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Map 3 Winner100%
Map 4 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
Map Handicap: DENDELE CS (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)100%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-9.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+9.5)100%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)90%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
O/U 4.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: DENDELE CS (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)0%
Map Handicap: FXW7 (-2.5) vs DENDELE CS (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs DENDELE CS (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-9.5) vs DENDELE CS (+9.5)0%
Map Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-9.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+9.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-9.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+9.5)0%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of counter-strike: dendele cs vs fluxo w7m (bo5) - pgl masters bucharest: south american closed qualifier playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between DENDELE CS and Fluxo W7M in the PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially schedu…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - PGL … on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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