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Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 62% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5) 43% Volume: $116K Liquidity: $88K Closes: 3 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner62%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)43%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage prediction market currently prices this outcome at 62% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between B8 and Alliance in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 3 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "B8" if B8 w…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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