The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giants

Platform comparison

Market context

London Spirit v Manchester Super Giants in The Hundred Women has already been played, with Manchester Super Giants winning by seven wickets at Lord’s on 23 July 2026, so a market showing **0% YES** is consistent with the published result rather than a live pre-match pricing signal.[1][2][4] ESPNcricinfo’s score report and video highlights both record the same outcome, and live-score pages also list MSG-W as the winner.[1][2][4]

For comparison, pre-match and in-play reference points were not especially close to a 50-50 contest: one live probability feed showed Manchester Super Giants around **68%** to win, with London Spirit at 32%, while betting screens visible during the match quoted London Spirit as the underdog.[3][5] That leaves the prediction-market contract far more extreme than the broader market view, but in this case the gap is explained by the fact the match has settled and the official result is one-sided in favour of Manchester.[1][2][4]

For traders watching how similar contracts move, the main catalysts are the fixture being completed and the result being finalised by ESPNcricinfo, since the market resolves on that published scoreline.[1] Lord’s listed the match for 23 July at 15:00 local time, so once the scheduled start passed, the relevant dependencies were the toss, team sheets, and any weather or interruption risk; none of the published sources indicate a no-result or abandonment in this case.[1][6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giants across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.