Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leeds | 100% |
| The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leeds - Who wins the toss? | 100% |
| The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leeds - Completed match? | 53% |
Market context
Trent Rockets versus Sunrisers Leeds in The Hundred is already under way at Trent Bridge, and the live market has priced the match as a near-certainty for a completed Rockets result, with the crowd implying **100% YES**. That sits well above the sort of pre-match split usually seen on closely matched Hundred fixtures, where home advantage and a short-format chase can move prices quickly once the toss and first few sets are known. The latest published scoreboards also point to a live result rather than a no-result scenario, which helps explain why a contract tied to the official match outcome is trading so firmly.[3][10][16]
The comparable form line is balanced but slightly favours Trent Rockets. ESPN’s competition table shows Rockets at **3 wins from 4** with a superior net run rate, while Sunrisers Leeds are **2 wins from 3** and only narrowly positive on net run rate.[5] Recent head-to-heads have also leaned Rockets: they beat Sunrisers Leeds by five runs in the women’s contest at Trent Bridge earlier in the week, and the men’s side also won a recent high-scoring meeting by five runs in the 2026 competition.[1][2][6] For traders, that history matters less than present innings state, but it does frame why analyst-style previews tend to rate this as a competitive fixture rather than a mismatch.[4][5]
The main catalysts now are match completion, any weather interruption, and whether the official result stands in line with competition conditions, because the market resolves only from the final score as published by ESPN Cricinfo. The live BBC and Cricbuzz feeds both list a 2:30 pm local start at Trent Bridge and indicate Rockets won the toss and chose to bat, so the biggest near-term dependency is simply whether play finishes normally or through an on-field ruling such as DLS or a Super Over.[3][10] If the innings is completed and a winner is recorded, that should settle the contract in line with the published result rather than any sportsbook-style margin or pre-match consensus.[3][15]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $100K.
Methodology
This page reviews The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leeds across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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