FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

The UEFA Europa Conference League fixture between FC Malisheva and KF Vllaznia Shkodër has concluded, with Vllaznia securing a 2–1 victory on 15 July 2026. The match, played at 10:30 AM ET, is now settled, meaning any prediction market tied to its outcome must reflect the final result rather than pre-game probabilities.

Historically, prediction markets showing 100% YES implied probability for a “more markets” contract on a completed game typically indicate the event has finished and all associated sub-markets are resolved. In comparable UEFA knockout or qualifying cases, such certainty arises only when the match clock has expired and official results are confirmed by governing bodies like UEFA. Here, the 100% figure aligns with the settled 2–1 scoreline, removing any ambiguity about whether additional betting options (e.g., totals, handicaps) were triggered.

Traders should monitor official UEFA match reports and sportsbook settlement notices to confirm which specific “more markets” contracts resolved as YES. While pre-match odds favoured Vllaznia at 1.67, the final score confirms the over/under and spread lines were active, validating the YES outcome. No further announcements are expected, as the settlement window closes shortly after the match end time, and all dependencies are now fulfilled.

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Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.