Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Coventry City (-1.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Coventry City O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Coventry City O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Coventry City 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Coventry City 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| AS Monaco (-1.5) | 0% |
| Coventry City (-2.5) | 0% |
| AS Monaco (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Coventry City O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| AS Monaco O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| AS Monaco O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| AS Monaco O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| AS Monaco 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| AS Monaco 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Coventry City 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Coventry City 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| AS Monaco 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| AS Monaco 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Coventry City will face AS Monaco in a pre-season friendly on 14 August at 2:00 PM ET, with the match serving as preparation for both clubs ahead of their respective domestic campaigns. The prediction market currently reflects 100% implied probability that additional markets will be offered for this fixture, suggesting near-certainty among traders that sportsbooks and prediction platforms will expand their offering beyond standard match-result and total-goals contracts.
Historical precedent shows that club friendlies between established European sides—particularly those involving Championship or Ligue 1 squads—routinely attract secondary markets on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, including player performance props, corner totals, and card counts. Coventry's recent uptick in fixture visibility and Monaco's consistent profile in continental competition have both contributed to elevated liquidity in their respective match markets. The 100% probability reading aligns with standard practice for high-profile August friendlies, where sportsbooks typically deploy expanded market slates to capture summer betting activity.
Traders should monitor team news and squad availability in the week preceding the match, as late-minute lineup changes or injury announcements can influence which secondary markets actually launch. Coventry's Championship status and Monaco's Ligue 1 standing mean that both clubs may rotate heavily, potentially affecting whether certain prop markets (such as specific player goal-scorer contracts) prove viable. Settlement timing at 18:30 UTC on match day leaves a narrow window for market resolution, so clarity on which additional markets have been formally listed by major platforms will be critical to confirming whether the 100% reading holds through to settlement.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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