Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| South Carolina State vs. Florida A&M | 97% |
| Spread -2.5 | 96% |
| Spread -3.5 | 96% |
| O/U 36.5 | 96% |
| Spread -6.5 | 94% |
| Spread -0.5 | 93% |
| Spread -1.5 | 93% |
| Spread -5.5 | 93% |
| Spread -7.5 | 93% |
| O/U 40.5 | 92% |
| Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| Spread -17.5 | 86% |
| O/U 44.5 | 86% |
| Spread -18.5 | 86% |
| Spread -16.5 | 84% |
| Spread -14.5 | 81% |
| Spread -13.5 | 79% |
| O/U 48.5 | 79% |
| Spread -19.5 | 78% |
| Spread -21.5 | 78% |
| Spread -10.5 | 77% |
| Spread -24.5 | 77% |
| Spread -8.5 | 74% |
| O/U 52.5 | 69% |
| Spread -20.5 | 68% |
| Spread -27.5 | 66% |
| O/U 54.5 | 62% |
| O/U 56.5 | 61% |
| Spread -31.5 | 52% |
| South Carolina State O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Florida A&M O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 70.5 | 50% |
| O/U 74.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina State O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina State O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina State O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina State O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina State O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida A&M O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| O/U 64.5 | 41% |
| O/U 68.5 | 30% |
| Spread -34.5 | 29% |
| O/U 72.5 | 20% |
| O/U 76.5 | 12% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 97% YES probability for South Carolina State vs. Florida A&M. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 6 at 3:00PM ET: If South Carolina State wins, the market will resolve to "South Carolina State". If Florida A&M wins, the market will res…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $79K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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