Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Tulsa O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Tulsa 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Tulsa O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Tulsa O/U 19.5 | 91% |
| Tulsa O/U 22.5 | 91% |
| Tulsa O/U 18.5 | 91% |
| Tulsa O/U 21.5 | 91% |
| Tulsa O/U 28.5 | 62% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| O/U 77.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Tulsa O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Hawkins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Drew Mestemaker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tre Page III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Damari Alston: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Trequan Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DJ McKinney: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Wyatt Young: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Miles Coleman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Baylor Hayes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Justin Bowick: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ayo Adeyi: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Barnes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Josh Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Luke Tevis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Oran Singleton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jimmy Calloway: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Carson Kolb: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Israel Polk: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| David Wells Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Micah Tease: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rodney Harris II: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jackson Shockley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 49% |
| O/U 58.5 | 48% |
| O/U 63.5 | 47% |
| Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| O/U 73.5 | 46% |
| O/U 59.5 | 42% |
| O/U 79.5 | 42% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Spread -8.5 | 35% |
| Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| Spread -31.5 | 30% |
| Spread -34.5 | 30% |
| O/U 49.5 | 22% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| O/U 43.5 | 14% |
| Spread -5.5 | 9% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
| O/U 55.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Spread -24.5 | 5% |
| Spread -4.5 | 3% |
| Spread -17.5 | 3% |
| Spread -27.5 | 3% |
| Oklahoma State vs. Tulsa | 2% |
| Spread: Oklahoma State (-14.5) | 2% |
| Spread -13.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Tulsa 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Tulsa 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, oklahoma state vs. tulsa stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:45PM ET: If Oklahoma State wins, the market will resolve to "Oklahoma State". If Tulsa wins, the market will r…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $192K.
Methodology
We track Oklahoma State vs. Tulsa across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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