Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 44.5 | 92% |
| O/U 50.5 | 85% |
| O/U 46.5 | 81% |
| O/U 48.5 | 79% |
| Spread -5.5 | 75% |
| O/U 52.5 | 74% |
| O/U 54.5 | 72% |
| O/U 56.5 | 72% |
| O/U 58.5 | 66% |
| Spread -0.5 | 63% |
| Spread -4.5 | 63% |
| Spread -6.5 | 63% |
| Spread -7.5 | 63% |
| Spread -8.5 | 63% |
| Spread -10.5 | 63% |
| Spread -13.5 | 63% |
| Spread -14.5 | 63% |
| Spread -17.5 | 63% |
| Spread -20.5 | 63% |
| Spread -21.5 | 63% |
| Spread -24.5 | 63% |
| Spread -27.5 | 63% |
| Spread -31.5 | 63% |
| Spread -16.5 | 62% |
| Spread -34.5 | 62% |
| O/U 60.5 | 61% |
| Spread -55.5 | 56% |
| O/U 62.5 | 56% |
| O/U 64.5 | 53% |
| Spread -56.5 | 52% |
| Howard O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Indiana O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -33.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -35.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -19.5 | 51% |
| Indiana O/U 64.5 | 51% |
| Indiana O/U 67.5 | 51% |
| Howard O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Howard O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Howard O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -32.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -36.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Howard O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Howard O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Howard O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 48% |
| O/U 68.5 | 41% |
| 2H Moneyline | 41% |
| O/U 70.5 | 37% |
| O/U 72.5 | 34% |
| O/U 76.5 | 27% |
| O/U 78.5 | 26% |
| O/U 74.5 | 21% |
| O/U 82.5 | 21% |
| O/U 84.5 | 21% |
| O/U 80.5 | 11% |
| Howard vs. Indiana | 0% |
| 1H Spread -37.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -22.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Howard vs. Indiana prediction market currently prices this outcome at 92% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Howard and Indiana, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Howard" if Howard win the game. This market will resolve to "In…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $117K.
Methodology
We track Howard vs. Indiana across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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