Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Delaware O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Delaware O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Delaware O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Delaware 1H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Delaware 1H O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Delaware 1H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Delaware O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Delaware O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Delaware O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 91% |
| O/U 36.5 | 91% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 91% |
| Spread -2.5 | 90% |
| O/U 50.5 | 89% |
| Spread -3.5 | 88% |
| Spread -4.5 | 85% |
| O/U 38.5 | 82% |
| Spread -5.5 | 80% |
| O/U 53.5 | 75% |
| Spread -7.5 | 74% |
| O/U 54.5 | 73% |
| Spread -10.5 | 73% |
| Spread -6.5 | 70% |
| Spread -16.5 | 68% |
| Spread -17.5 | 68% |
| Spread -14.5 | 66% |
| O/U 44.5 | 66% |
| O/U 55.5 | 65% |
| O/U 56.5 | 64% |
| O/U 62.5 | 61% |
| Spread -13.5 | 56% |
| O/U 58.5 | 56% |
| Spread -23.5 | 55% |
| Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| Spread -11.5 | 52% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| O/U 70.5 | 50% |
| O/U 72.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Delaware 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Delaware 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Delaware 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| Sedrick Alexander: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Junior Sherrill: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cole Spence: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ja'Cory Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Blaze Berlowitz: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Makhilyn Young: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sean Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tristen Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jared Curtis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nick Minicucci: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jayvontay Conner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bryson Graves: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Viron Ellison Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Da'Wain Lofton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kayleb Barnett: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Donovan Lewis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Scott Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nick Tyree: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaderris Roberts: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Elijah Sessoms: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -29.5 | 50% |
| Spread -32.5 | 50% |
| Spread -36.5 | 50% |
| Spread -39.5 | 50% |
| Spread -42.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 48% |
| Spread -38.5 | 41% |
| Spread -30.5 | 40% |
| O/U 74.5 | 32% |
| Spread -20.5 | 24% |
| Spread -24.5 | 15% |
| Delaware vs. Vanderbilt | 9% |
| Spread -35.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Vanderbilt 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Vanderbilt 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Vanderbilt 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Delaware vs. Vanderbilt. In the upcoming college football game between Delaware and Vanderbilt, scheduled for September 12 at 4:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Delaware" if Delaware win the game. This market will resolv…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $176K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2216%2C18%2020%2C4%2024%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2224%2C18%2028%2C3%2032%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2232%2C18%2036%2C3%2040%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2240%2C18%2044%2C4%2048%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2018%20Q%2016%204%2026%2010%20Q%2020%202%2032%206%20Q%2044%202%2038%2010%20Q%2048%204%2054%2018%22%20stroke%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%20stroke-width%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22none%22%20stroke-linecap%3D%22round%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Delaware vs. Vanderbilt on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →