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FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 99% FC Bayern München O/U 0.5 95% O/U 1.5 94% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 90% Volume: $102K Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 5 Sept 2026
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FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
99% 1% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
99% 1% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.599%
FC Bayern München O/U 0.595%
O/U 1.594%
2nd Half O/U 0.590%
1st Half O/U 0.586%
FC Bayern München O/U 1.586%
FC Bayern München 2nd Half O/U 0.583%
O/U 2.581%
FC Bayern München (-1.5)68%
2nd Half O/U 1.568%
FC Bayern München O/U 2.567%
O/U 3.562%
FC Bayern München 1st Half O/U 0.560%
FC Schalke 04 O/U 0.559%
Both Teams to Score57%
1st Half O/U 1.556%
FC Bayern München 2nd Half O/U 1.555%
FC Bayern München 1st Half (-2.5)51%
FC Bayern München 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
FC Schalke 04 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
FC Schalke 04 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
FC Bayern München 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
FC Schalke 04 1st Half (-2.5)49%
FC Bayern München (-2.5)47%
2nd Half O/U 2.546%
FC Bayern München 1st Half O/U 1.544%
O/U 4.542%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half41%
FC Schalke 04 2nd Half O/U 0.539%
FC Bayern München 1st Half (-1.5)35%
FC Schalke 04 1st Half O/U 0.530%
FC Schalke 04 2nd Half O/U 1.530%
1st Half O/U 2.528%
O/U 5.525%
Both Teams to Score in First Half23%
FC Schalke 04 O/U 1.523%
FC Schalke 04 1st Half O/U 1.523%
FC Schalke 04 O/U 2.56%
FC Schalke 04 (-1.5)2%
FC Schalke 04 1st Half (-1.5)2%
FC Schalke 04 (-2.5)1%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, fc schalke 04 vs. fc bayern münchen - more markets stands at 99% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for September 5 at 12:30 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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