Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| SC Internacional O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| SC Internacional 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Clube do Remo 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 99% |
| Clube do Remo O/U 0.5 | 96% |
| Both Teams to Score | 89% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| SC Internacional 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| SC Internacional (-2.5) | 12% |
| SC Internacional (-1.5) | 1% |
| SC Internacional O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 1% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| SC Internacional 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| Clube do Remo 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Clube do Remo (-1.5) | 0% |
| Clube do Remo (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| SC Internacional O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Clube do Remo O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Clube do Remo O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| SC Internacional 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Clube do Remo 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Clube do Remo 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
SC Internacional face Clube do Remo in a Brazil Série A match scheduled for 17 August at 7:00 pm ET, with the prediction market pricing a narrow 10% chance on the current contract. That sits well below the main sportsbook view: Robinhood’s live market showed Internacional at 66.0¢, Tie at 22.0¢ and Remo at 12.5¢, while Fox Sports listed Internacional at -183 and Remo at +480, implying a much stronger home favourite than the crowd price suggests.[13][4]
Comparable pricing points to the same shape of game: external models cluster around Internacional as a clear favourite, but not an overwhelming one. One statistical preview put Internacional’s win chance at 54%, with a 1-1 draw the single most likely exact score, while another market snapshot priced the home side closer to 63%-68% and Remo around 15%-21%.[2][3][9] That leaves the contract’s 10% yes price below both analyst consensus and bookmaker-implied probabilities, indicating the market is leaning to a more specific “more markets” outcome than a simple home-win read.[2][3][13]
For catalysts, the main watch-list is late team news and market settlement timing rather than a long fixture runway: the event window closes at 2026-08-17T23:00:00Z, so any line-up change, injury report, or rotation call before kick-off can move derivatives such as first team to score, first-half result, or totals more sharply than the match winner. Fox’s odds page and the sportsbook preview both showed live market movement on 17 August, which suggests traders were already adjusting around pre-match information and line-up confirmation.[1][3][4]
Methodology
This page reviews SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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