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US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils

Comparison of odds and platforms for "US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Total Sets: O/U 3.5 100% US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Set 1 Winner 100% Completed Match 50% US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Match O/U 36.5 50% Volume: $607K Liquidity: $189K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Total Sets: O/U 3.5100%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Set 1 Winner100%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Match O/U 36.550%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Match O/U 40.550%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Total Sets: O/U 4.540%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Match O/U 38.527%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Game Spread +/-2.525%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Set 4 Winner18%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils4%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Set Handicap +/-1.51%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Set 3 O/U 8.51%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Set 2 Winner0%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Set 2 O/U 8.50%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Set 1 O/U 8.50%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Set 2 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Set 3 Winner0%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Set 1 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Set Handicap +/-2.50%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Set 2 O/U 10.50%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Set 3 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils Set 3 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open atp: adolfo vallejo vs gael monfils. This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Gael Monfils in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo'…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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