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US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet

Five-platform snapshot of "US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 8.5 65% US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Set Handicap +/-1.5 60% US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Total Sets: O/U 3.5 56% US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Game Spread +/-5.5 52% Volume: $114K Liquidity: $189K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 8.565%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Set Handicap +/-1.560%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Total Sets: O/U 3.556%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Game Spread +/-5.552%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Match O/U 36.546%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 9.546%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Match O/U 38.541%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Match O/U 40.538%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Set Handicap +/-2.537%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 Winner36%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Set 3 Winner36%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 Winner34%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet28%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 10.524%
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet Total Sets: O/U 4.523%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, us open atp: dane sweeny vs corentin moutet stands at 65% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Dane Sweeny and Corentin Moutet in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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Related Topics

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